More heresies on the election arithmetic and the manifestos
This is a round-robin email (not a blog post) to draw your attention to a new blog post on my Ephems blog, “More heresies on the election arithmetic and the manifestos“, which you can read by clicking http://www.barder.com/more-heresies-on-the-election-arithmetic-and-the-manifestos/. In this post I offer reminders that the Tories, despite a much worse than expected performance, won 56 more seats than Labour; that to win a majority and form a government next time, Labour would need to win more than twice the number of net additional seats as it won this time, as well as holding on to those it has just won, a monumental task; and that admiration for Jeremy Corbyn’s campaigning prowess is not the same thing as confidence in his management and leadership skills as leader of the opposition, still less as prime minister.
The blog post goes on to suggest that Labour automatically condemned the Tory manifesto’s “dementia tax” for the wrong reasons, failing to notice the progressive elements in it, and similarly failed to spot the defects in the pensions “triple lock” which the Tories rightly declined to perpetuate – a failure that could cost a future Labour government dearly. By the same token, Labour seems unaware of the dangers underlying its promise to abolish students’ tuition fees. The moral? There can be half-hidden catches in even the most obviously popular policies, and some merit in those that are most easily and automatically condemned.
Please comment, adversely or supportively, at http://www.barder.com/more-heresies-on-the-election-arithmetic-and-the-manifestos/, not please in reply to this email. That’s also where you’ll be able to read other people’s comments.
An abbreviated version of the Ephems post has been published on LabourList at http://labourlist.org/2017/06/labour-won-tory-seats-with-a-stirring-campaign-but-danger-lurks-in-the-detail-of-both-parties-spending-plans/ .
Greetings to all from a south London basking and sweating in a tropical heatwave, with temperatures (in Centigrade, naturally) higher than in the Bahamas
20 June 2017 (my 83rd birthday — no messages, no flowers)